Liverpool hosts Aston Villa in the match of the 17th round of the Premier League. A match, which is certainly very interesting for betting not only because both managers are for the first time in their teams, but also they are among the top managers in the league.
Most of the bettors believe that a good manager is more than 50% of the class of a team and Brendan Rodgers and Paul Lambert are truly among the best in their profession. However, if I have to be honest both teams are currently experiencing crisis, which at least I didn’t expect at the beginning of the season.
Liverpool are in the tenth place in the standings with 22 points, while Aston Villa is only a place above the relegation zone with an equal number of points – 15 with the 18th in the standings – Wigan.
On the other hand, both teams are in a good run. Liverpool have lost just one of their last ten matches in the Premier League, registering four wins and five draws and Aston Villa haven’t lost in four consecutive games.
All the betting houses offer Liverpool as a strong favourite in the match, with a modest coefficient of 1.36 for their victory. This allows me to bet on Aston Villa and more specifically on the Asian Handicap market with a preset margin of 1.5 goals. The betting odds about this one is about 2, which is more than excellent.
Indeed, Liverpool’s chances to win this game are more than good. The question is how big are the chances Liverpool to win the match with two goals. Something that I think is not very likely.
The reason for this is that Liverpool is the team in the Premier League, which misses most goal attempts per game more than any other team in the entire Premier League. Their ineffectiveness in offense is simply staggering and thus they do not win their matches. On the other hand Aston Villa have let only one goal in their last four games, which is also a factor in favour of my bet.